Premise
Using a premise of a fact to think about future possibilities is just using something you know, or choose to assume, is true now, as a starting point to imagine what might happen next. It is like saying “If this is the case now, then what could follow from it later?”
Basic idea
A “premise” is a fact or assumption you take as your starting point, such as “I have an exam in two weeks” or “Prices are going up.” From that starting point, you mentally walk forward and ask “So what might happen because of this?” or “What could this lead to?”
How it works in everyday thinking
When you do this, you link the present fact to possible future outcomes using reasoning: “If I revise a little each day, I might feel calmer,” or “If prices keep rising, I may need to change my budget.” You are not claiming to know the future for sure, only exploring several “if–then” paths that all grow out of the same known fact.
Further Reading
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jmv.27661
https://al-kindipublisher.com/index.php/jcsts/article/view/4449
http://journal.frontiersin.org/Article/10.3389/fmars.2015.00095/abstract
https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10477982/
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41440-020-0498-x
https://izdat.istu.ru/index.php/social-economic-management/article/view/5984
https://iwaponline.com/ws/article/19/8/2179/69623/Predicting-water-demand-a-review-of-the-methods
https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0022030217309694
http://www.emerald.com/mip/article/12/7/18-29/294778
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2011.14620.pdf
https://dash.harvard.edu/bitstream/1/3549374/2/Gilbert_ForecastingBackcasting.pdf
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2201.07372.pdf
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2303.18006.pdf
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2502.08205.pdf
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2203.10302.pdf
http://arxiv.org/pdf/1705.11186.pdf
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1902.04256.pdf
https://online.hbs.edu/blog/post/predictive-analytics
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictive_modelling
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